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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+5.48vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.95vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.33+4.21vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.00+4.33vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+3.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.65vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.07-0.12vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.31-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+4.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.57-0.92vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University0.56+1.91vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-2.40vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.94vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.76-5.73vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56-2.34vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.93-8.47vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.10-2.31vs Predicted
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19University of North Texas-1.04-1.33vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.53-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.2%1st Place
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7.21Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Southern California2.000.1%1st Place
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4.97Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.15University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.0%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.88Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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14.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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10.08University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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13.91San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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10.6California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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13.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.0%1st Place
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8.53Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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15.69University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
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17.67University of North Texas-1.040.0%1st Place
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19.44Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 15.6% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Person | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Eaton | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 1.2% |
| Nigel Lipps | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Schrady | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tara Rogers | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Kauffman | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 21.6% | 19.3% | 2.8% |
| Marcin Kostrzewa | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 45.6% | 15.7% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 12.0% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.