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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.93+4.27vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.31+5.42vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.93+5.92vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.24vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50+1.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.83-0.36vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.07+1.59vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.57+2.10vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.33-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.82-0.73vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-0.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.00-4.13vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56-0.11vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.10+0.69vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.30-4.79vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University0.56-3.24vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-3.30vs Predicted
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19University of North Texas-0.97-1.39vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.53-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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7.42College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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8.92Northwestern University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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6.69Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.64Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.59Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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7.22Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.0%1st Place
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10.64California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Southern California2.000.1%1st Place
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13.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.0%1st Place
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15.69University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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13.76San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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14.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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17.61University of North Texas-0.970.0%1st Place
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19.47Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Person | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Eaton | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 5.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tara Rogers | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 0.5% |
| John Kauffman | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 2.7% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 10.9% | 0.7% |
| Emma Cooledge | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 43.4% | 14.7% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 10.6% | 80.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.