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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.07+7.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.83+3.57vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.00+5.70vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+2.73vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.93+0.22vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.56+7.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.57+3.61vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+2.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+0.20vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.31-2.65vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-5.67vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.33-4.52vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.38vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.93-5.26vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.56-1.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-6.44vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-2.53vs Predicted
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18University of Washington-0.10-2.16vs Predicted
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19University of North Texas-0.97-1.39vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.53-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.57Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Southern California2.000.1%1st Place
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6.73Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University2.930.1%1st Place
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13.95San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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10.61University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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10.39California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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9.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.0%1st Place
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7.35College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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5.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.48Jacksonville University2.330.1%1st Place
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11.62University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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8.74Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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13.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.560.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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14.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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15.84University of Washington-0.100.0%1st Place
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17.61University of North Texas-0.970.0%1st Place
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19.47Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky Munns | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 12.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Person | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Eaton | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tara Rogers | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| John Kauffman | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 26.0% | 18.9% | 3.3% |
| Emma Cooledge | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 46.9% | 13.7% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 10.3% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.