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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+3.84vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.33vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.94+0.37vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+0.73vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-0.97+6.25vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.77+0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.87-0.61vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.01+0.99vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-3.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.41-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii2.35-8.75vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.60-1.62vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.75vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.69-1.47vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.69-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.3%1st Place
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5.84University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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6.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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13.25California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Oregon0.770.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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10.99Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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4.25University of Hawaii2.350.2%1st Place
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12.38University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.25California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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14.53Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pierce | 25.3% | 20.0% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 24.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Saliba | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 16.0% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 24.7% | 21.6% | 0.0% |
| Richard Chui | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 52.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 20.2% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.