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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+3.41vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.35+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.77+5.71vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.74+1.98vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.97vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.94-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-3.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.93vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-2.42vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.87-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.41-1.23vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-0.97+1.20vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.01-2.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.60-1.63vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.80vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.69-1.43vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.69-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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4.25University of Hawaii2.350.2%1st Place
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8.71University of Oregon0.770.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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7.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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3.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.58California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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9.77University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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13.2California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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10.92Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.37University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.2California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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14.57Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
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12.72University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 15.5% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 10.4% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 23.2% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 24.7% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Saliba | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 24.7% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Richard Chui | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 20.4% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.