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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+3.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.39vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+3.48vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.74+1.84vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.35-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.77+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.87+1.31vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.02vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.69+2.33vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.13-0.77vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.08+1.14vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.60-0.90vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.14vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.69-0.65vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.14vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.94-11.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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3.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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6.48California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Hawaii2.350.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Oregon0.770.0%1st Place
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8.31University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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7.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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12.33University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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13.14Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.86California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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14.35Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
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12.86California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 24.3% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 15.0% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Richard Chui | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 20.8% | 45.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.