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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+3.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.45vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands-0.97+10.18vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.94+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.23vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.74-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.41+2.85vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.24vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.87-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.77-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.35-7.70vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.69-0.35vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.60-1.64vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.01-3.93vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.82vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.69-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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13.18California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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7.23University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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7.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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6.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Oregon0.770.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Hawaii2.350.2%1st Place
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12.65University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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12.36University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.07Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.18California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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14.55Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 24.1% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 23.9% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 16.3% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Saliba | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 23.9% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Richard Chui | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 19.7% | 51.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.