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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.31vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.94+2.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.10vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.74+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.35-1.72vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.13+2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.87-0.80vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands-0.97+2.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.69+1.27vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.77-3.52vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-5.35vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.02vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-1.08-1.90vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.69-1.68vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.60-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.3%1st Place
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4.36University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Hawaii2.350.1%1st Place
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6.56California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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12.98California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Oregon0.770.0%1st Place
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7.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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12.98California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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13.1Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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14.32Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
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12.2University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pierce | 25.6% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 15.3% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 14.3% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 23.1% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 23.1% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 18.4% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Richard Chui | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 21.0% | 45.6% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.