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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+4.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.93vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.39vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.94+1.28vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.35-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.77+2.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.13+3.30vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-0.97+4.87vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-2.52vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-7.56vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.08+1.14vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.69-0.73vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.87-5.84vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-2.13vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.69-1.68vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.60-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Hawaii2.350.2%1st Place
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8.57University of Oregon0.770.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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12.87California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.48California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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7.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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3.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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13.14Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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12.87California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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14.32Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 15.0% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Patton | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 23.7% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Richard Chui | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 20.2% | 45.6% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.