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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+5.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+4.46vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.26vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+3.85vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-1.73vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-0.97+7.16vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.41+2.69vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.77+0.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.08vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.94-4.84vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.69+1.44vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.01-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.74-7.34vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.87-5.88vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.84vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.69-1.55vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii-0.88-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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6.46University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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7.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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13.16California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.69University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Oregon0.770.0%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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10.8Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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13.16California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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14.45Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Hawaii-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emi Stephanoff | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 17.4% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 24.6% | 20.9% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 20.8% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Saliba | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Richard Chui | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 20.1% | 49.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Lugliani | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 20.1% | 21.5% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.