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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University4.07+4.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+3.82vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.08+2.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida4.17+0.28vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+3.45vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.99+2.30vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.11+0.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.56-1.86vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.82-0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.37-3.14vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.85vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.29-2.56vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.35+0.12vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.31-7.78vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.65-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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5.82Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College4.080.1%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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5.28University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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9.45Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.3Harvard University2.990.0%1st Place
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8.64Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.86University of Vermont3.370.1%1st Place
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7.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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11.44Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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15.12University of Michigan0.350.0%1st Place
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8.22Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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13.12University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Greenfield | 11.1% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 11.6% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Avery Brooks | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Crain | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 12.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Colin Santangelo | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Bo McClatchy | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Graham Gardner | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 1.5% |
| Pete Hazelett | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Kana | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 6.0% |
| Alex Bogatko | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 13.4% | 71.8% |
| Matthew Schon | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Edwards | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 34.2% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.