← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.28+3.17vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.27vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.94+2.03vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.11vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.68vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+0.42vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-0.01+3.80vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii-0.88+4.84vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego1.45-2.53vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Davis0.41-0.32vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington1.74-5.36vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.69+0.52vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon0.77-4.51vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-0.93vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.93vs Predicted
-
16University of Hawaii0.87-7.73vs Predicted
-
17Rutgers University-1.69-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.17University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
-
3.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.3%1st Place
-
5.03University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
-
7.11University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
-
7.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
6.42California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
-
10.8Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
12.84University of Hawaii-0.880.0%1st Place
-
6.47University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
-
9.68University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
-
5.64University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
-
12.52University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
-
8.49University of Oregon0.770.0%1st Place
-
13.07California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
13.07California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.27University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
-
14.55Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 17.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 26.8% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Saliba | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Lugliani | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 23.5% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 19.9% | 22.5% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 19.9% | 22.5% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Richard Chui | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 20.2% | 49.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.