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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.18vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands-0.97+11.01vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.28+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.77+4.62vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.94+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.74-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.69+4.35vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.13+0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.87-2.87vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-5.64vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.01-2.33vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-0.97-0.99vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles1.30-8.18vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii-0.88-3.01vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.69-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.3%1st Place
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13.01California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.24University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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8.62University of Oregon0.770.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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6.51University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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7.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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6.36California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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10.67Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.01California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Hawaii-0.880.0%1st Place
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14.47Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pierce | 26.1% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 15.4% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 7.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Saliba | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Lugliani | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Richard Chui | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 49.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.