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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis0.13+9.19vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.87+6.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+0.24vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.77+4.56vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands-0.97+8.12vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.28-1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.94-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.74-2.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.45-2.58vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii-0.88+2.92vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-0.97+2.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.30-5.09vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-5.41vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.01-3.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.69-2.61vs Predicted
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16California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-9.59vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.69-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Hawaii0.870.0%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.3%1st Place
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8.56University of Oregon0.770.0%1st Place
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13.12California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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6.42University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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12.92University of Hawaii-0.880.0%1st Place
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13.12California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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7.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.71Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.41California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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14.51Rutgers University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Potter | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 25.1% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 24.9% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 15.5% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 13.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Lugliani | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 17.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 24.9% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Saliba | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Chui | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 49.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.