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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.11+6.80vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.82+2.83vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+2.92vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.87+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.13-3.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.11+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.19-0.31vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.580.00vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.04-2.96vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.10-0.68vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.94+0.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.71vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.87vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.81-2.87vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-2.78-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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2.66University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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5.83University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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6.92California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Hawaii2.130.3%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Washington-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.0Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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13.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.940.0%1st Place
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10.29University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.13California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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13.13California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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14.76Rutgers University-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassandra Shand | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 32.7% | 24.3% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pelle Bergstrom | 26.1% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Zhang | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 28.6% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 25.1% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 25.1% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Martin | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 18.0% | 57.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.