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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.82+3.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.13-1.06vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+1.87vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.87-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.19+1.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.04-0.05vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.11-1.18vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.10+1.41vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.58-1.21vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.11-3.48vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.81+0.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.68vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.78-0.25vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.81-2.99vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.94-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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5.83University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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2.94University of Hawaii2.130.3%1st Place
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6.87California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.79Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Washington-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.01California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.75Rutgers University-2.780.0%1st Place
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13.01California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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13.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 32.3% | 24.6% | 18.3% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pelle Bergstrom | 26.8% | 22.5% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 27.2% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Martin | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 59.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 27.2% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Zhang | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 27.6% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.