← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.13+1.88vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.82+3.79vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.28-0.31vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy0.46+2.96vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii0.87+0.71vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara0.70+0.29vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.11+0.94vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis-0.19+0.62vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley0.04-1.01vs Predicted
-
10University of Oregon-1.10+1.38vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.75-0.71vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington-0.11-3.52vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University-0.58-3.11vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.03vs Predicted
-
15Rutgers University-2.78-0.25vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-1.81-3.03vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.94-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.88University of Hawaii2.130.3%1st Place
-
5.79University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
-
2.69University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
-
6.96California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
-
5.71University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
-
6.29University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
-
7.94University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
-
7.99University of California at Berkeley0.040.0%1st Place
-
11.38University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
-
10.29University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
8.48University of Washington-0.110.0%1st Place
-
9.89Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
-
12.97California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
14.75Rutgers University-2.780.0%1st Place
-
12.97California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
-
13.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelle Bergstrom | 27.0% | 25.0% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Gee | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 30.7% | 24.0% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Paulsen | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tillie Morris | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 24.4% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Martin | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 18.3% | 58.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 24.4% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Zhang | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 18.7% | 27.0% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.