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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.25+3.72vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.99+6.78vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+5.02vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+2.58vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.13+3.48vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+0.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-1.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-1.27vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71-2.88vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-0.48vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.15-2.60vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52+0.61vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-2.02vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.20-2.07vs Predicted
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15McGill University-1.05+0.09vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.37-2.36vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Yale University2.2515.5%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island0.994.3%1st Place
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8.02Northeastern University1.225.2%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College2.108.8%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College1.135.2%1st Place
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6.01Brown University1.9910.8%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.7%1st Place
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6.73Brown University1.698.6%1st Place
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6.12Dartmouth College1.7110.3%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University0.934.5%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University1.155.3%1st Place
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12.61Connecticut College0.521.1%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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11.93Maine Maritime Academy0.202.4%1st Place
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15.09McGill University-1.050.7%1st Place
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13.64Middlebury College-0.370.8%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 15.5% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 11.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 4.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 7.1% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 17.7% | 50.9% |
| Penelope Weekes | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 23.1% | 21.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.