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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.82+4.76vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.87+2.68vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.13-0.99vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.76vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy0.46-1.28vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-1.81+3.84vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.73+0.26vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.11-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.93-1.25vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.94+0.19vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-2.78+0.66vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.81-2.16vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-0.58-6.09vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon-1.29-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76University of Hawaii0.820.1%1st Place
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2.71University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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5.68University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Hawaii2.130.2%1st Place
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6.11University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.1%1st Place
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6.72California Poly Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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12.84California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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10.26University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Washington-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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13.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.940.0%1st Place
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14.66Rutgers University-2.780.0%1st Place
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12.84California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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9.91Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Gee | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 32.7% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahala Novak-Furukawa | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pelle Bergstrom | 24.0% | 23.6% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Toomey | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Thompson | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 24.2% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Zhang | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Martin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 19.8% | 53.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 19.1% | 24.2% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Marelie Vorster | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.