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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.00+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+3.93vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.29+10.16vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+3.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.57-0.48vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.09+3.40vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.86vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.41+0.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+1.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.35vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-1.71vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.68+0.95vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.60-0.81vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.73-1.14vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.95+3.07vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-1.02-1.62vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.39+2.05vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.28-2.35vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.13-0.01vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-4.87vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-2.95vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-0.93-8.13vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-1.71-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Southern California2.000.2%1st Place
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5.93University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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13.16San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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6.52University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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5.52University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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5.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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7.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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10.02University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.35University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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14.95University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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14.19University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.86University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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20.07Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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16.38University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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21.05Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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17.65University of California at Los Angeles-1.280.0%1st Place
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20.99University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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17.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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20.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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15.87University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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19.12Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Paulsen | 19.9% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Aitor Iriso | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 11.9% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sebastien Franck | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Fisher Price | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 14.3% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 27.4% |
| Emma Worthington | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 24.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Calum Merry | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.