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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.00+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+4.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.45+2.93vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.57+1.56vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.00vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+1.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.68+7.94vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.09+3.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis0.41+0.67vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-0.29+2.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30-4.64vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.28+5.45vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-0.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-2.91vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.02+0.87vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.60-1.86vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.95+2.92vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.73-3.13vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-0.09-7.42vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-2.66vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.67-1.79vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.71-3.30vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-3.07vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.39-2.64vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.13-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of Southern California2.000.2%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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5.93University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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5.56University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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6.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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7.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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14.94University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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12.98San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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6.36University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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17.45University of California at Los Angeles-1.280.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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15.87University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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19.92Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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14.87University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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17.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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19.21University of California at Davis-1.670.0%1st Place
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18.7Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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19.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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21.36Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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20.44University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Paulsen | 20.4% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Worthington | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 13.1% |
| Fisher Price | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Drake Baldwin | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Duru Guney | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 8.2% |
| Calum Merry | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 12.3% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 28.6% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.