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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+6.03vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.00+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.57+2.57vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+1.85vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+6.23vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.41+3.85vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.60+5.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.09+1.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.30-4.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.09+0.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-0.86vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.73+0.93vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.29-2.41vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+1.02vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.68-2.28vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.95+1.94vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.71-0.44vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.68vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.13-0.14vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.67-3.34vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.28-5.75vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-4.10vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.39-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Southern California2.000.2%1st Place
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5.57University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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5.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.1%1st Place
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11.23University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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5.88University of California at San Diego1.450.1%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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14.13University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.41University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
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6.38University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.93University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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12.59San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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17.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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14.72University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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19.94Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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18.56Arizona State University-1.710.0%1st Place
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16.32University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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20.86University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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18.66University of California at Davis-1.670.0%1st Place
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17.25University of California at Los Angeles-1.280.0%1st Place
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19.9University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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21.29Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Ponting | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 18.1% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Ian Marshall | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Fisher Price | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 14.7% |
| Calum Merry | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% |
| Paulo Garcia Lopez | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| Duru Guney | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| Emma Worthington | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 13.7% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.