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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.07+5.53vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.02+4.57vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.84+4.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.52+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+0.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.23+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.25-1.07vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut2.59+0.02vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.91-4.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-0.15vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy2.20-1.79vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.50-0.69vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.19-1.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-6.04vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.93-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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6.57Connecticut College3.020.1%1st Place
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7.24Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.19Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.05Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Connecticut2.590.1%1st Place
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4.08Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
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9.21Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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11.31Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.91Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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14.83Bates College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Saunders | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Wells Bacon | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Howard | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Giuliano | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| William Bowman | 16.8% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 0.7% |
| John Joseph | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 21.6% | 27.3% | 1.1% |
| William Feldman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 20.6% | 40.5% | 2.7% |
| William Cotta | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Reilly Bergin-Pugh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 93.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.