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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+5.68vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.13+6.56vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+4.97vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+2.16vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.25-0.32vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.52+6.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+2.40vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.13vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.99-2.98vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-1.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.53vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.15-3.74vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.87vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.20-2.06vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.69-8.38vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.05-0.99vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.37-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Dartmouth College2.109.3%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College1.135.0%1st Place
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7.97Northeastern University1.225.8%1st Place
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6.16Dartmouth College1.719.8%1st Place
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4.68Yale University2.2514.8%1st Place
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12.47Connecticut College0.521.6%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
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11.13University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University1.9910.3%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island0.995.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University1.155.7%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.6%1st Place
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11.94Maine Maritime Academy0.201.8%1st Place
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6.62Brown University1.698.5%1st Place
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15.01McGill University-1.050.5%1st Place
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13.66Middlebury College-0.371.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| bella casaretto | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 14.8% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 11.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 8.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 48.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.