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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.27+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.50+3.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.93vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.11+3.52vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.44+4.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.37+7.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.75+3.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+2.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.24+3.90vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.77+5.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.15-3.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.01-1.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-2.11vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.76+0.17vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.58-1.43vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+1.86vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30-5.46vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-4.18vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.12-2.58vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.37-7.90vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-2.53-3.27vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.34-5.11vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.87-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Southern California1.270.2%1st Place
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5.96University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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7.52University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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9.98San Diego State University-0.440.0%1st Place
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6.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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14.76University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.0%1st Place
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13.9University of California at Irvine-1.240.0%1st Place
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16.39Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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8.71University of California at San Diego-0.150.1%1st Place
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10.61University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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12.63University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.89University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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16.17University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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15.57University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.0%1st Place
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19.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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13.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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15.82University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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18.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.120.0%1st Place
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14.1University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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19.73Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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18.89Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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20.92University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diya Correa | 24.7% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 9.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Gompf | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Canyon Breyer | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Tang | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Molly Rowland | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Konrad Brine | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gravallese | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 19.5% |
| Jack Kelly | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Oliver van Moon | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Galusha | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% |
| Blair Caccam | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 16.2% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.