← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.27+2.60vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+4.53vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego0.50+3.04vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+7.27vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-0.75+6.41vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+13.85vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-0.15+1.66vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.58vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.32vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University-0.44+0.07vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.54vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+2.40vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-1.37+1.65vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-1.58+1.52vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-1.76+1.04vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-2.53+3.58vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-1.28vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.12+0.10vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-1.37-5.13vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-6.68vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Davis-1.01-8.03vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Irvine-1.24-8.56vs Predicted
-
23Arizona State University-1.77-6.60vs Predicted
-
24Arizona State University-2.34-5.06vs Predicted
-
25University of California at San Diego-2.87-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.6University of Southern California1.270.2%1st Place
-
6.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
-
6.04University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
-
11.27University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
19.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
-
8.66University of California at San Diego-0.150.1%1st Place
-
10.58University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
-
5.68University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
-
10.07San Diego State University-0.440.0%1st Place
-
7.46University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
-
14.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
-
14.65University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
-
15.52University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.0%1st Place
-
16.04University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
-
19.58Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
-
15.72University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
-
18.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.120.0%1st Place
-
13.87University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.32University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
-
12.97University of California at Davis-1.010.0%1st Place
-
13.44University of California at Irvine-1.240.0%1st Place
-
16.4Arizona State University-1.770.0%1st Place
-
18.94Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
-
20.9University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diya Correa | 24.0% | 20.3% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Tang | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Canyon Breyer | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 19.6% |
| Molly Rowland | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassandra Shand | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kelly | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Neil Gompf | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Katherine Pearson | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.5% |
| Oliver van Moon | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Galusha | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Blair Caccam | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Grant Gravallese | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Konrad Brine | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Antoine Kepczyk | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.