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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.27+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.50+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.15+5.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+6.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.37+7.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+1.78vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.24+3.55vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-3.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.58+3.29vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.44-3.29vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+5.44vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.75-4.25vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.93-4.28vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.12+0.61vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.25vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.76-3.60vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.34-1.36vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.37-6.59vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-3.64+0.46vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-7.86vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-2.87-3.57vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.53-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of Southern California1.270.3%1st Place
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5.82University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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8.39University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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5.84University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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14.24University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.27University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.0%1st Place
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13.55University of California at Irvine-1.240.0%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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15.29University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.0%1st Place
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9.71San Diego State University-0.440.0%1st Place
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19.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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10.75University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.72University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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17.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.120.0%1st Place
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15.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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15.4University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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18.64Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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14.41University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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22.46Arizona State University-3.640.0%1st Place
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15.14University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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20.43University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
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19.15Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diya Correa | 25.5% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Neil Gompf | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Tang | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Cassandra Shand | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Bittner | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Canyon Breyer | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Galusha | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Blair Caccam | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ciara Harding | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 46.7% |
| Oliver van Moon | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 17.4% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.