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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.50+4.57vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.27+1.55vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+3.40vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58+6.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.15+3.28vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.37+7.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52-1.28vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.44+1.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.75+1.65vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.30+3.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-1.76+4.69vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.24+1.46vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+2.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.11-6.86vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.58-0.50vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.37-2.40vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-4.27vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.56+1.17vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.48-0.71vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.74-9.14vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-3.64+1.77vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.34-4.07vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.12-5.70vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.53-5.07vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.87-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Southern California1.270.2%1st Place
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6.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.1%1st Place
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10.13University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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8.28University of California at San Diego-0.150.1%1st Place
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13.96University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.72University of California at Los Angeles0.520.1%1st Place
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9.5San Diego State University-0.440.0%1st Place
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10.65University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.300.0%1st Place
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15.69University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Irvine-1.240.0%1st Place
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15.11University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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14.5University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.0%1st Place
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13.6University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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19.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.560.0%1st Place
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18.29University of California at Davis-2.480.0%1st Place
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10.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.0%1st Place
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22.77Arizona State University-3.640.0%1st Place
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17.93Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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17.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.120.0%1st Place
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18.93Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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20.16University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Barton | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diya Correa | 24.0% | 20.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 6.2% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Abraham Dearden | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bittner | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kelly | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Jessica Woodruff | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Oliver van Moon | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Cassandra Shand | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Neil Gompf | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Grant Gravallese | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Schackel | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 9.1% |
| Shanay Patel | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Kevin Tang | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Harding | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 50.7% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Galusha | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.