← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.91+3.10vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.23+3.89vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College3.02+3.59vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.52+1.15vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont3.51+0.29vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut2.59+2.05vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.07-0.52vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99+1.85vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College1.50+2.15vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.89vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.84-3.71vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami3.25-5.78vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.19-1.15vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy2.20-4.85vs Predicted
-
15Bates College-1.93-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.1Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
-
5.89Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.59Connecticut College3.020.1%1st Place
-
5.15Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
-
5.29University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.05University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
-
6.48Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
-
9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
-
11.15Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
-
8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
7.29Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.22University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
-
11.85Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
-
9.15Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
-
14.83Bates College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 19.4% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wells Bacon | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Giuliano | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| George Saunders | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 0.7% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 24.5% | 2.2% |
| William Cotta | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Howard | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Feldman | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 18.6% | 41.8% | 2.2% |
| John Joseph | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 0.3% |
| Reilly Bergin-Pugh | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 93.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.