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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+6.97vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+3.81vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+5.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+5.48vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.25-0.21vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.71+0.31vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.20+4.53vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10-1.29vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.61vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15-1.60vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.88vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-5.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-2.11vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-1.50vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.13-6.48vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.37-2.43vs Predicted
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17McGill University-1.05-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Northeastern University1.225.6%1st Place
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5.81Brown University1.9911.4%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island0.995.1%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
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4.79Yale University2.2515.6%1st Place
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6.31Dartmouth College1.718.2%1st Place
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11.53Maine Maritime Academy0.202.5%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.108.2%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.1%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University1.155.5%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University1.698.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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12.5Connecticut College0.521.8%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College1.135.5%1st Place
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13.57Middlebury College-0.371.0%1st Place
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15.1McGill University-1.050.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 15.6% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Sarah Young | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 12.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 22.0% | 21.9% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 18.4% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.