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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.15+7.39vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+3.72vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+4.23vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.99+2.86vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10-0.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+1.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.99-2.94vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.25-5.18vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.13-2.31vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52+0.53vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.15vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.23vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.37-1.50vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.93-6.68vs Predicted
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17McGill University-1.05-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Tufts University1.155.1%1st Place
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6.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.0%1st Place
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6.72Brown University1.699.3%1st Place
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8.23Northeastern University1.225.8%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College1.7110.7%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.108.8%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.4%1st Place
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6.06Brown University1.9910.2%1st Place
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4.82Yale University2.2514.8%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College1.135.0%1st Place
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12.53Connecticut College0.522.1%1st Place
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11.85Maine Maritime Academy0.202.3%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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13.5Middlebury College-0.370.9%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University0.934.4%1st Place
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14.98McGill University-1.050.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Young | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 11.8% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 8.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Penelope Weekes | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 22.1% | 20.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.