Race 13B

veitor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Wells Bacon 8.7% 7.7% 7.1% 9.3% 9.4% 8.6% 7.7% 8.8% 7.9% 6.9% 8.1% 5.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 5.8% 6.8% 8.6% 6.4% 9.0% 7.0% 8.3% 10.0% 8.3% 10.1% 5.8% 7.4% 4.5% 1.9% 0.1%
Jordan Factor 12.2% 11.9% 12.0% 10.7% 10.9% 9.2% 9.3% 8.6% 5.5% 4.5% 2.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
William Bowman 18.7% 15.6% 13.6% 11.4% 11.1% 9.5% 7.1% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Giuliano 4.6% 6.0% 5.3% 5.4% 6.0% 6.9% 8.6% 7.5% 9.0% 8.3% 10.4% 11.1% 7.4% 3.3% 0.2%
John Joseph 3.1% 4.1% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 5.6% 4.4% 7.2% 8.7% 10.5% 11.3% 14.7% 11.6% 7.5% 0.5%
Jacob Tronaas 3.6% 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 4.2% 4.3% 3.8% 5.1% 6.8% 10.1% 11.4% 12.3% 16.2% 12.4% 0.7%
William Cotta 4.9% 4.8% 5.3% 7.4% 5.3% 5.5% 8.6% 8.9% 8.8% 9.6% 9.5% 10.6% 8.0% 2.5% 0.3%
George Saunders 6.9% 7.7% 8.2% 7.8% 9.8% 10.9% 9.5% 8.4% 10.1% 6.8% 6.7% 4.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
William Feldman 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 1.4% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 6.0% 6.5% 10.0% 19.2% 37.9% 3.1%
William Howard 8.3% 10.0% 10.1% 9.2% 8.5% 9.7% 9.2% 7.1% 7.4% 6.3% 6.3% 4.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Jack Kerby-Miller 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 0.9% 2.6% 3.0% 3.1% 4.1% 4.1% 6.8% 9.6% 10.8% 21.6% 28.2% 1.0%
Tyler Rice 8.3% 7.8% 9.0% 10.0% 8.1% 8.9% 9.6% 8.9% 8.8% 8.2% 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Willem Sandberg 12.4% 12.6% 11.6% 12.5% 9.2% 9.4% 8.4% 7.6% 7.0% 3.4% 3.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Reilly Bergin-Pugh 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 2.8% 94.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.