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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.56+1.29vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.67+0.20vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.70+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of North Texas-0.97+0.48vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.70-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of Texas-1.12-2.37vs Predicted
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8University of Central Oklahoma-1.98-2.11vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-4.46-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29University of Texas0.560.3%1st Place
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2.2Rollins College0.670.3%1st Place
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4.04Texas A&M University-0.700.1%1st Place
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4.48University of North Texas-0.970.1%1st Place
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4.04Texas A&M University-0.700.1%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Texas-1.120.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Central Oklahoma-1.980.0%1st Place
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7.79Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-4.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Mason | 34.9% | 28.0% | 19.5% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Barrett | 34.7% | 32.2% | 18.3% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 9.9% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 6.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cooledge | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 21.3% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 9.9% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 6.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gravallese | 5.5% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 21.8% | 14.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriella Wong | 6.1% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 14.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Beesley | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 45.1% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Stormie Gutierrez | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 5.9% | 89.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.