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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+6.96vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.25+2.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+3.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+4.90vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+1.13vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10+0.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+2.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+0.46vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.13-0.47vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.92vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.65vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-1.02vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.16vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-1.57vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.99-9.20vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.05-0.95vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.37-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Northeastern University1.225.8%1st Place
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4.68Yale University2.2515.7%1st Place
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6.88Brown University1.697.9%1st Place
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8.9University of Rhode Island0.994.6%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College1.7110.1%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.108.8%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University0.933.9%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University1.155.5%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College1.135.5%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.8%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.8%1st Place
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10.98University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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11.84Maine Maritime Academy0.202.1%1st Place
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12.43Connecticut College0.521.3%1st Place
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5.8Brown University1.9910.2%1st Place
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15.05McGill University-1.050.5%1st Place
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13.78Middlebury College-0.371.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 15.7% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| bella casaretto | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 7.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 11.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 19.6% | 48.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.