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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.25+3.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.15+6.38vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+4.84vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+1.25vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.20+5.80vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+2.61vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+2.79vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.99-3.02vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.37+3.70vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.52+1.51vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.13-3.40vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.99vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-5.91vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.69-8.21vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-6.71vs Predicted
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17McGill University-1.05-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Yale University2.2517.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University1.155.2%1st Place
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6.62Dartmouth College2.108.7%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College1.719.6%1st Place
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11.8Maine Maritime Academy0.202.5%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University0.934.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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5.98Brown University1.999.4%1st Place
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13.7Middlebury College-0.370.9%1st Place
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12.51Connecticut College0.521.8%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College1.135.0%1st Place
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6.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.5%1st Place
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8.09Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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6.79Brown University1.697.9%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.2%1st Place
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15.05McGill University-1.050.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 17.0% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Young | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| bella casaretto | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 7.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 23.3% | 21.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 11.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.