← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.91+3.07vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.52+3.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont3.51+2.13vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.23+2.07vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.02+1.73vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99+3.83vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.07-0.49vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.84-0.70vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami3.25-3.10vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.93vs Predicted
-
11University of Connecticut2.59-2.92vs Predicted
-
12Yale University1.19+0.01vs Predicted
-
13Maine Maritime Academy2.20-3.63vs Predicted
-
14Bates College-1.93+0.85vs Predicted
-
15Middlebury College1.50-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.07Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
-
5.11Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
-
5.13University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
6.07Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.73Connecticut College3.020.1%1st Place
-
9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
-
6.51Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
-
7.3Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
5.9University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.08University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
-
12.01Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
-
9.37Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
-
14.85Bates College-1.930.0%1st Place
-
10.97Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bowman | 19.7% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 12.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Factor | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wells Bacon | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 0.7% |
| George Saunders | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| William Howard | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Cotta | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| John Giuliano | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| William Feldman | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 38.5% | 3.5% |
| John Joseph | 2.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 0.4% |
| Reilly Bergin-Pugh | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 3.6% | 94.0% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 25.7% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.