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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.31+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.07+3.93vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.14+2.70vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.43+7.35vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54-0.62vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.46-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina1.28+1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia0.85+1.88vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77+1.14vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.99-3.80vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina0.11+1.64vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.73-1.34vs Predicted
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13University of Florida1.38-5.05vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.23-2.16vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.39-0.89vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.66-1.05vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-3.04vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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5.7Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.35Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.38North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.63Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.41University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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10.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.0%1st Place
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6.2Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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12.64University of North Carolina0.110.0%1st Place
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10.66University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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11.84Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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14.11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.390.0%1st Place
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14.95Embry-Riddle University-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.96Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.07Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Eaton | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| TJ Danilek | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Scott Harris | 17.6% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 13.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Allison Chenard | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| William Smith | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ian Willoughby | 10.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Chenard | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% |
| Erik Volk | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Snyder | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Aaron Maggiacomo | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 20.3% |
| Brian Herbster | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 30.8% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.