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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.99+5.05vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.07+3.76vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.31+2.03vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77+5.90vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.46-0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Florida1.38+1.87vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.73+3.12vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.28+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia0.85+0.60vs Predicted
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10Clemson University2.14-4.38vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.39+2.85vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.54-7.38vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina0.11-0.93vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-0.66vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.66-0.46vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.95-0.69vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-3.95vs Predicted
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18Rollins College0.23-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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9.9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.0%1st Place
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4.52Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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7.87University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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10.12University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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8.1University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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5.62Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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13.85Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.390.0%1st Place
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4.62North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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12.07University of North Carolina0.110.0%1st Place
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13.34Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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14.54Embry-Riddle University-0.660.0%1st Place
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15.31University of Central Florida-0.950.0%1st Place
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13.05Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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11.64Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Willoughby | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Eaton | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Smith | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Telmo Basterra | 15.3% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| David Manley | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Allison Chenard | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| TJ Danilek | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Maggiacomo | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.5% |
| Scott Harris | 16.8% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Chenard | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 10.4% |
| Brian Herbster | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 22.5% |
| Shane Michos | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 34.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 8.7% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.