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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.99+5.12vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.46+2.75vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Florida1.38+4.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.28+3.77vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.73+4.44vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.07-1.17vs Predicted
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8Duke University0.43+3.85vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77+1.26vs Predicted
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10Clemson University2.14-4.53vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.23+1.39vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia0.85-1.57vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.31-8.07vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.66+1.39vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.55vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.95+0.07vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.39-2.56vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-3.79vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina0.11-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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4.75Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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4.56North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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8.21University of Florida1.380.0%1st Place
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8.77University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
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10.44University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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5.83University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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11.85Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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10.26University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.0%1st Place
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5.47Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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12.39Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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4.93College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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15.39Embry-Riddle University-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.45Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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16.07University of Central Florida-0.950.0%1st Place
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14.44Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.390.0%1st Place
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14.21Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.42University of North Carolina0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Willoughby | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 15.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 16.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Erik Volk | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Richard McCann | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Deakin | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| William Smith | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| TJ Danilek | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Eaton | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Herbster | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 22.6% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.6% |
| Shane Michos | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 32.4% |
| Aaron Maggiacomo | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 14.0% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% |
| Matthew Chenard | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.