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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.46+3.71vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.31+3.14vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.28+5.63vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.99+2.06vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54-0.40vs Predicted
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6Clemson University2.14-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia0.85+3.22vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.07-1.98vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.73+1.41vs Predicted
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10University of Florida1.38-1.91vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.23+1.32vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.95+4.34vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.66+2.07vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77-3.49vs Predicted
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15Duke University0.43-3.38vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-2.44vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.39-2.57vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-3.81vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina0.11-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
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5.14College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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8.63University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
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6.06Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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4.6North Carolina State University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.59Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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6.02University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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10.41University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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8.09University of Florida1.380.0%1st Place
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12.32Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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16.34University of Central Florida-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.07Embry-Riddle University-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.0%1st Place
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11.62Duke University0.430.0%1st Place
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13.56Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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14.43Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.390.0%1st Place
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14.19Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.5University of North Carolina0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telmo Basterra | 15.4% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Eaton | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ian Willoughby | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Harris | 12.4% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Chenard | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Richard McCann | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Snyder | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Shane Michos | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 19.0% | 35.6% |
| Brian Herbster | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 19.5% |
| William Smith | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Alec Deakin | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Aaron Maggiacomo | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.9% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.8% |
| Matthew Chenard | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.