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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+6.21vs Predicted
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3Clemson University2.14+2.49vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.31+1.13vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.23+6.71vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.07-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77+3.13vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.73+2.04vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia0.85+1.01vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.11+2.17vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.39+2.68vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31+1.40vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.66+1.29vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology0.86-4.16vs Predicted
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15University of Florida1.38-7.03vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.99-9.97vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.46-12.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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8.21University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
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5.49Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.13College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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11.71Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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10.13University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.0%1st Place
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10.04University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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12.17University of North Carolina0.110.0%1st Place
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13.68Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.390.0%1st Place
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13.4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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14.29Embry-Riddle University-0.660.0%1st Place
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9.84Florida Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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6.03Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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4.76Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| TJ Danilek | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Eaton | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 6.6% |
| Richard McCann | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Smith | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Erik Volk | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Chenard | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Aaron Maggiacomo | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 23.9% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 20.1% |
| Brian Herbster | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 34.0% |
| Joshua Schuler | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ian Willoughby | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Telmo Basterra | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.