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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.54+3.28vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.23+9.71vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.07+2.70vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.31+1.13vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.28+3.19vs Predicted
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6Clemson University2.14-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.77+3.07vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.73+2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia0.85+1.00vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31+3.49vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.39+2.66vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.66+2.23vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina0.11-0.75vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology0.86-4.12vs Predicted
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15University of Florida1.38-7.06vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.99-9.97vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.46-12.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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11.71Rollins College0.230.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Miami2.070.1%1st Place
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5.13College of Charleston2.310.1%1st Place
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8.19University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
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5.67Clemson University2.140.1%1st Place
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10.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.770.0%1st Place
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10.03University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Georgia0.850.0%1st Place
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13.49Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.66Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.390.0%1st Place
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14.23Embry-Riddle University-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.25University of North Carolina0.110.0%1st Place
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9.88Florida Institute of Technology0.860.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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6.03Eckerd College1.990.1%1st Place
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4.73Jacksonville University2.460.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Harris | 16.9% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Walsh | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% |
| Richard McCann | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Eaton | 13.2% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| TJ Danilek | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Smith | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Erik Volk | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Allison Chenard | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Robert Beauchamp | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| Aaron Maggiacomo | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 17.8% | 25.1% |
| Brian Herbster | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 33.3% |
| Matthew Chenard | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% |
| Joshua Schuler | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Snyder | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ian Willoughby | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 15.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.