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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.25+3.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.06vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69+3.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+2.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+0.97vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.13+2.53vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10-0.44vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+1.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-0.53vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-2.14vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-0.37+1.61vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.15-4.71vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.29-0.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.64vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.20-4.38vs Predicted
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17McGill University-1.05-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Yale University2.2516.7%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University1.698.0%1st Place
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6.09Dartmouth College1.719.9%1st Place
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5.97Brown University1.999.8%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College1.135.6%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College2.109.2%1st Place
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8.06Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island0.994.7%1st Place
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13.61Middlebury College-0.370.8%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University1.156.3%1st Place
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13.18Connecticut College-0.291.5%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.0%1st Place
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11.62Maine Maritime Academy0.201.6%1st Place
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14.93McGill University-1.050.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 16.7% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Young | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Penelope Weekes | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 23.2% | 20.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Fear | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 21.9% | 16.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.