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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+5.18vs Predicted
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2Boston University4.07+6.47vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.89+2.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.62+6.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+3.68vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin4.10+2.27vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.28vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.73+6.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.13vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-0.46vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.23+0.95vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.84+1.88vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.44-2.09vs Predicted
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14Brown University4.49-7.12vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida4.17-7.02vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.64+0.90vs Predicted
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17Washington College3.65-6.82vs Predicted
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18Harvard University4.17-10.11vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.47Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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14.08Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
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11.95Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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13.88George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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6.88Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.98University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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16.9Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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10.18Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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13.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 10.1% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Sinks | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| William Haeger | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 14.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Sam Padnos | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Rob Struckett | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| William Ricketson | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 11.0% |
| Peter Miller | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Fred Strammer | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Marks | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 55.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| John Stokes | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.