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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.53+4.76vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.80+0.71vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.63+2.31vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.04+2.01vs Predicted
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6University of Florida0.45+3.03vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.05+3.74vs Predicted
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8Clemson University1.27-1.75vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.72-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.44-0.77vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.34+3.80vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.15-0.64vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.55-0.69vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology0.11-4.01vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.75-1.92vs Predicted
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16Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.73-2.87vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.98-3.12vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-1.15-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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2.71College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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5.31Eckerd College1.630.1%1st Place
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4.26North Carolina State University2.010.2%1st Place
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7.01University of Miami1.040.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Florida0.450.0%1st Place
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10.74University of North Carolina-0.050.0%1st Place
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6.25Clemson University1.270.1%1st Place
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8.04University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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9.23University of South Florida0.440.0%1st Place
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14.8University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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11.36Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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12.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.99Georgia Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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13.08Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.730.0%1st Place
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13.88Duke University-0.980.0%1st Place
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14.11Florida Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 29.7% | 25.9% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 15.2% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maya Kwasniewski | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Wiley Spagnoli | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| emilia giovine | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jewel "Min Min" Kelly | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mary James | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 30.2% |
| Nick Baker | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Paul Novak | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 6.0% |
| Chandler Scott | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Jack Rachek | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% |
| Brittany Becker | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 10.6% |
| Maya Lytje | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 16.6% |
| Suzie Dixon | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.