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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.72vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.63+3.31vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.04+2.84vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.55+7.12vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.72+1.99vs Predicted
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7Clemson University1.27-0.79vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.53-2.57vs Predicted
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9University of Florida0.29+0.34vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.05+0.83vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology0.11-0.84vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.44-2.79vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.73-0.25vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.81+1.42vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.75-2.15vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-1.34-1.33vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.15-2.82vs Predicted
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18Rollins College-0.15-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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5.31Eckerd College1.630.1%1st Place
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4.24North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Miami1.040.1%1st Place
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12.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.99University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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6.21Clemson University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.43Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Florida0.290.0%1st Place
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10.83University of North Carolina-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.16Georgia Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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9.21University of South Florida0.440.0%1st Place
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12.75Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.730.0%1st Place
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15.42University of Central Florida-1.810.0%1st Place
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12.85Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.67University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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14.18Florida Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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10.71Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 31.7% | 24.3% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Novak | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Ian Street | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| emilia giovine | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Keyes | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Wiley Spagnoli | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Chandler Scott | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Jewel "Min Min" Kelly | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Brittany Becker | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.3% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 37.9% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Mary James | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 23.1% |
| Suzie Dixon | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 16.9% |
| Nick Baker | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.