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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.74vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.27+4.37vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+1.29vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.63+1.10vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.53+0.42vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.11+4.06vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.44+1.91vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.04-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.55+3.25vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.34+4.73vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.05-0.31vs Predicted
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12University of Florida0.29-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina0.72-5.15vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.73-1.38vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.75-2.16vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-1.15-1.87vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-1.81-1.25vs Predicted
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18Rollins College-0.15-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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6.37Clemson University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.29North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.1Eckerd College1.630.1%1st Place
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5.42Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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10.06Georgia Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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8.91University of South Florida0.440.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Miami1.040.1%1st Place
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12.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.550.0%1st Place
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14.73University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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10.69University of North Carolina-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Florida0.290.0%1st Place
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7.85University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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12.62Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.730.0%1st Place
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12.84Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.13Florida Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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15.75University of Central Florida-1.810.0%1st Place
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10.72Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 31.5% | 24.3% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| emilia giovine | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Scott | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jewel "Min Min" Kelly | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Novak | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Mary James | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 22.4% | 21.9% |
| Wiley Spagnoli | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Nathaniel Keyes | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ian Street | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Becker | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
| Suzie Dixon | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 16.3% |
| Sam Pearl | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 42.5% |
| Nick Baker | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.