← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.63+4.42vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University2.01+2.49vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.53+2.75vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.80-1.31vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College-0.15+6.94vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina-0.05+5.18vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina0.72+1.51vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami1.04-0.47vs Predicted
-
9University of Florida0.45+0.27vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida0.44-0.67vs Predicted
-
11Duke University0.95-3.33vs Predicted
-
12Clemson University0.67-3.10vs Predicted
-
13Georgia Institute of Technology0.11-2.49vs Predicted
-
14Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.73-0.16vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-1.59+0.94vs Predicted
-
16Florida Institute of Technology-1.15-1.00vs Predicted
-
17Embry-Riddle University-0.75-3.28vs Predicted
-
18University of Georgia-1.34-2.43vs Predicted
-
19University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.55-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.42Eckerd College1.630.1%1st Place
-
4.49North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
-
5.75Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
-
2.69College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
-
11.94Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
-
11.18University of North Carolina-0.050.0%1st Place
-
8.51University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
-
7.53University of Miami1.040.1%1st Place
-
9.27University of Florida0.450.0%1st Place
-
9.33University of South Florida0.440.0%1st Place
-
7.67Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
-
8.9Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
-
10.51Georgia Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
-
13.84Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.730.0%1st Place
-
15.94University of Central Florida-1.590.0%1st Place
-
15.0Florida Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
-
13.72Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
15.57University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
-
12.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Vail | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 14.9% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Perez | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 30.5% | 25.8% | 18.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Baker | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Wiley Spagnoli | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Ian Street | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maya Kwasniewski | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Jewel "Min Min" Kelly | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carrie Marshall | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Scott | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Brittany Becker | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 7.8% |
| Thomas Masterson | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 33.9% |
| Suzie Dixon | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 17.1% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 8.6% |
| Mary James | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 23.3% |
| Paul Novak | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.