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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.80+1.71vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.63+3.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.72+5.45vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.67+4.65vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.53+0.87vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.55+6.93vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.01-2.63vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.04-0.52vs Predicted
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9University of Florida0.29+0.78vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-1.15+4.89vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.44-1.50vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.15-0.03vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-1.34+2.32vs Predicted
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14Duke University0.95-6.26vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.75-1.44vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-1.59+0.15vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.73-3.39vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology0.11-7.36vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina-0.05-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
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5.45Eckerd College1.630.1%1st Place
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8.45University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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8.65Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.87Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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12.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.550.0%1st Place
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4.37North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Miami1.040.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Florida0.290.0%1st Place
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14.89Florida Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.5University of South Florida0.440.0%1st Place
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11.97Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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15.32University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.74Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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13.56Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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16.15University of Central Florida-1.590.0%1st Place
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13.61Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.730.0%1st Place
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10.64Georgia Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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10.92University of North Carolina-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Geller | 32.8% | 23.6% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Vail | 10.5% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Carrie Marshall | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Perez | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Novak | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Adam Larson | 13.5% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Keyes | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Suzie Dixon | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 15.2% |
| Jewel "Min Min" Kelly | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nick Baker | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Mary James | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 22.7% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% |
| Thomas Masterson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 33.5% |
| Brittany Becker | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 8.4% |
| Chandler Scott | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Wiley Spagnoli | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.