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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.63+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.93+5.54vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.01+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina0.72+3.92vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.15+5.97vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.53-0.54vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.05+3.70vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.11+2.06vs Predicted
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9University of Florida0.29+0.46vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+2.04vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.75+2.13vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.98+2.05vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.73-0.13vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.15+0.02vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.34-0.23vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.34-6.58vs Predicted
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17Clemson University1.27-10.63vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.80-15.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Eckerd College1.630.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Miami0.930.0%1st Place
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4.28North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.92University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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10.97Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.46Jacksonville University1.530.1%1st Place
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10.7University of North Carolina-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.06Georgia Institute of Technology0.110.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Florida0.290.0%1st Place
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12.04University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.13Embry-Riddle University-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.05Duke University-0.980.0%1st Place
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12.87Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.730.0%1st Place
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14.02Florida Institute of Technology-1.150.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Georgia-1.340.0%1st Place
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9.42University of South Florida0.340.0%1st Place
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6.37Clemson University1.270.1%1st Place
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2.6College of Charleston2.800.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Vail | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dominic Canonico | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 14.3% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nick Baker | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| David Perez | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wiley Spagnoli | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Chandler Scott | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Nathaniel Keyes | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Robert Williams | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Jack Rachek | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% |
| Maya Lytje | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 19.5% |
| Brittany Becker | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% |
| Suzie Dixon | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 19.8% |
| Mary James | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 27.2% |
| Piper Blackford | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| emilia giovine | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Geller | 33.8% | 25.5% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.