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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+5.63vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.08vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+4.98vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.25+0.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.15+3.36vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.71+0.29vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.13+1.62vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-1.26vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.99-2.95vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93-0.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.65vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-1.07vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.20-1.27vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-5.37vs Predicted
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15McGill University-1.05+0.04vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-0.37-2.72vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College-0.29-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Dartmouth College2.109.6%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.3%1st Place
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7.98Northeastern University1.225.8%1st Place
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4.68Yale University2.2516.4%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University1.156.2%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College1.719.8%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College1.135.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.698.3%1st Place
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6.05Brown University1.999.8%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University0.933.9%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.8%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
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11.73Maine Maritime Academy0.201.5%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island0.994.7%1st Place
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15.04McGill University-1.050.6%1st Place
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13.28Middlebury College-0.371.4%1st Place
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13.17Connecticut College-0.291.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.8% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 7.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 48.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 18.9% |
| Natalie Fear | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 21.5% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.