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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Will Platten 6.9% 6.6% 7.0% 7.2% 6.8% 8.5% 7.5% 6.4% 8.7% 7.9% 6.8% 7.1% 5.5% 4.3% 2.4% 0.5%
Kailey Warrior 12.9% 12.1% 11.8% 10.4% 11.2% 8.2% 7.4% 7.0% 5.1% 4.5% 3.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Dawson Kohl 6.8% 5.9% 6.6% 6.1% 6.5% 8.2% 8.3% 7.1% 7.0% 7.4% 8.2% 7.2% 6.4% 4.3% 3.1% 0.9%
Grace Jones 7.8% 9.7% 8.1% 8.9% 8.6% 8.0% 8.2% 7.5% 7.9% 6.8% 5.5% 4.9% 4.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.4%
Darby Smith 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 8.4% 8.8% 7.3% 8.5% 7.3% 7.8% 6.7% 7.2% 4.8% 4.4% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
Fiona Froelich 9.7% 9.4% 9.8% 10.0% 9.2% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% 6.6% 5.9% 4.2% 3.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Josh Becher 7.8% 6.5% 6.7% 7.3% 6.5% 7.8% 8.5% 8.5% 7.9% 7.4% 6.4% 7.8% 5.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.5%
Oliver West 3.5% 4.7% 3.9% 5.1% 5.2% 5.9% 5.5% 6.2% 7.5% 8.2% 9.2% 9.8% 9.6% 8.2% 5.1% 2.4%
Zach O'connor 6.5% 7.5% 7.0% 7.0% 6.8% 6.8% 5.7% 7.3% 7.7% 8.1% 8.5% 6.5% 6.0% 5.5% 2.4% 0.9%
Joshua Knowles 12.4% 10.9% 11.5% 10.2% 10.3% 8.2% 8.8% 7.8% 5.9% 4.5% 3.6% 2.4% 1.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Shay Bridge 7.2% 6.9% 7.4% 6.9% 6.6% 8.0% 7.8% 7.5% 7.1% 8.1% 7.3% 7.8% 5.1% 3.4% 2.3% 0.7%
Sofia Scarpa 2.4% 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 3.6% 5.0% 5.9% 6.6% 8.6% 8.5% 11.9% 11.8% 10.9% 6.8%
Suhas Medidi 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 2.1% 1.9% 3.1% 3.4% 4.2% 5.9% 7.4% 9.1% 12.6% 19.3% 20.9%
Ayden Feria 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 4.2% 4.7% 5.8% 8.2% 13.8% 18.2% 24.9%
Caleb Kinnear 3.0% 2.9% 3.2% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 4.1% 4.5% 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 8.2% 9.9% 12.8% 12.8% 10.2%
Ryan Terski 1.7% 1.5% 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 1.6% 2.2% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 6.1% 8.4% 10.9% 19.1% 30.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.