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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+7.02vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+4.55vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.00vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.48+7.03vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93+4.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+3.39vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.25-2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+0.84vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69-2.26vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.20+1.69vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-5.02vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.15-3.81vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.71-6.77vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-0.37-0.60vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.13-6.43vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.05-1.01vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College-0.29-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Northeastern University1.225.8%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College2.109.3%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.3%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont0.482.7%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University0.933.6%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
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4.62Yale University2.2515.7%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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6.74Brown University1.698.3%1st Place
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11.69Maine Maritime Academy0.201.9%1st Place
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5.98Brown University1.9910.2%1st Place
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8.19Tufts University1.155.4%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College1.7110.2%1st Place
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13.4Middlebury College-0.371.3%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College1.135.5%1st Place
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14.99McGill University-1.050.9%1st Place
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13.26Connecticut College-0.291.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 7.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 18.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Cecilia Muller | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 18.5% | 49.4% |
| Natalie Fear | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.