Race 1A

phebe-corkran-king

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kaitlyn DeLisser 8.4% 10.7% 13.0% 9.0% 10.9% 11.0% 10.5% 9.1% 7.1% 6.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Paula Resto 8.9% 7.6% 10.5% 9.9% 10.6% 11.1% 10.6% 9.4% 9.0% 7.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Riley Kloc 7.0% 9.8% 9.9% 10.6% 9.4% 10.5% 11.7% 9.7% 9.6% 6.0% 3.4% 2.1% 0.3%
emilia giovine 4.4% 4.7% 6.2% 7.2% 8.1% 7.4% 8.1% 11.3% 10.4% 13.5% 9.9% 6.9% 1.9%
Olivia de Olazarra 22.7% 20.8% 14.0% 14.1% 10.8% 6.9% 4.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Marian Frances Williams 20.7% 17.1% 14.5% 14.1% 10.5% 8.2% 6.2% 3.7% 2.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah Pokorny 7.9% 5.6% 7.6% 7.2% 9.1% 8.9% 10.1% 9.6% 12.6% 9.2% 8.1% 2.9% 1.2%
Margaret MacCormack 5.3% 4.9% 5.0% 5.9% 6.9% 9.4% 9.0% 11.4% 13.1% 11.0% 10.4% 5.6% 2.1%
Victoria Newberry 0.7% 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 2.3% 1.8% 2.5% 3.2% 4.8% 6.5% 11.7% 21.0% 41.2%
Allison Chenard 3.3% 4.6% 3.3% 3.8% 5.4% 6.7% 7.1% 9.5% 10.4% 13.9% 13.7% 12.0% 6.3%
Rachel Prucnal 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.6% 8.4% 15.1% 23.9% 29.1%
Corinne Poitras 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 4.3% 4.4% 6.5% 6.0% 10.5% 18.1% 22.0% 16.9%
Jenna Probst 8.6% 9.7% 11.1% 12.4% 11.5% 10.9% 10.5% 9.2% 7.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.