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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+4.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+4.16vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+6.63vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+6.24vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+1.85vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.07+5.56vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07+0.57vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.08-0.86vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10-1.86vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.23+0.91vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.44-0.64vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.17-5.38vs Predicted
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14Washington College3.65-3.71vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.73-1.44vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.84-2.70vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.64-0.25vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida4.17-10.27vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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12.56University of Rhode Island3.070.0%1st Place
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8.57Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.14University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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11.91Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.36Connecticut College3.440.0%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.29Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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13.56Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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13.3George Washington University2.840.0%1st Place
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16.75Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.73University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Padnos | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Weston Barlow | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rob Struckett | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Peter Miller | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| John Stokes | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 12.2% |
| William Ricketson | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.1% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 53.6% |
| Zachary Marks | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.